Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1.051541 1.193205 1.347596 1.528465 1.734701 1.962715 2.234179
2026-01-04 0.812617 1.000066 1.222049 1.504821 1.856222 2.279551 2.829778
2026-01-11 0.702693 0.914751 1.180770 1.540039 2.014280 2.621247 3.460869
2026-01-18 0.615114 0.837973 1.130910 1.545823 2.121222 2.895168 4.022222
2026-01-25 0.539425 0.764010 1.071275 1.524683 2.180837 3.102208 4.505279
2026-02-01 0.474637 0.695768 1.009223 1.488910 2.209945 3.262105 4.929853
2026-02-08 0.420887 0.636467 0.952020 1.451151 2.227796 3.401588 5.331701
2026-02-15 0.388558 0.604949 0.931371 1.464001 2.320216 3.657908 5.935420
2026-02-22 0.356225 0.569734 0.900899 1.457066 2.378593 3.863480 6.475095
2026-03-01 0.325529 0.533858 0.865486 1.437647 2.412944 4.030708 6.964419
2026-03-08 0.291411 0.489087 0.811393 1.381510 2.379220 4.079348 7.251538
2026-03-15 0.269286 0.462216 0.784198 1.367749 2.415506 4.248559 7.765611
2026-03-22 0.255110 0.449979 0.784534 1.409072 2.566080 4.656494 8.807005
2026-03-29 0.231471 0.419264 0.750693 1.387545 2.604109 4.872722 9.531465
2026-04-05 0.218588 0.406354 0.746824 1.419909 2.745118 5.294661 10.707971
2026-04-12 0.203450 0.387546 0.729955 1.425225 2.833680 5.624501 11.740540
2026-04-19 0.186908 0.364285 0.702177 1.405796 2.870043 5.853550 12.591070
2026-04-26 0.170631 0.339855 0.669604 1.372917 2.874501 6.016636 13.318948
2026-05-03 0.155900 0.317032 0.637904 1.338209 2.870667 6.160739 14.021758
2026-05-10 0.147352 0.305975 0.628833 1.350020 2.967966 6.532987 15.293983
2026-05-17 0.137840 0.291958 0.612235 1.343646 3.023978 6.819529 16.401840
2026-05-24 0.128173 0.276678 0.591486 1.325795 3.051687 7.044305 17.389289
2026-05-31 0.116571 0.256102 0.557399 1.274188 2.995091 7.065886 17.872856